CHINA INTERNET WALL: The wall is there because the government wants full control over the contents on the Internet.



It will be around for a long, long time.
The censorship of foreign website from China was mainly a regulatory decision. It has the by-product of ideological separation and to a less extent, protectionism in the IT industry but it'll be delusive to believe those were what the wall was there for.
The wall is there because the government wants full control over the contents on the Internet.
The logic behind blocking Google (and Twitter, Facebook etc) was rather simple. Ever since the Chinese authorities realized what Internet really is, the management goal has always been that all websites must comply to the request from the Internet police to take off any "harmful" contents (what defines harmful is subject to all kinds of interpretation) in a timely manner or be shut down, especially the ones that delivers Chinese content. Google indexes Chinese websites extensively and obviously they will never heed to such a call. The Chinese government doesn't have the power to shut down Google either. So the best option to somehow make sure that Google doesn't exist.
For that same reason they could also block Quora. They didn't do it simply because Quora is purely an English community and just isn't affluent enough.
So the answer is, the wall will be lifted if for whatever reason the Chinese government no longer wants that control. That also means they are probably stopping exercising the same degree of control over press, and agree to systematically classify violence and adult contents from digital media. Because none of those are happening anytime soon, I don't think they'll be hit by some epiphany on the Internet matter either.
And of course, there's also the shenanigan of PRISM, the menace of religious extremism, the all-to-much ease of access to all those YouPorn 1’s and 0’s, and the increasing hostility against the mainland Chinese from the HK/Taiwan youth outside the wall. None of these are necessarily the evil of Internet itself but they are just piling up on the convenient excuses for the people in power to tighten their grip on our ways to obtain information. The future is certainly getting more and more tribal for all of us.


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