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China’s $24 Trillion Problem & Why It’s ‘Extremely Vulnerable’
The Chinese is economy is running hot. Like “Careful-Something-Really-Bad-Could Happen” hot.
“Since 2007, China has added about $24 trillion-worth of debt,” says Hedgeye Financials analyst Josh Steiner.
That’s enormous.
Here’s an example to understand just how big the problem actually is. From 2000 to 2007, “the greatest leverage run-up in global history,” Steiner says, the U.S. and Europe each added about $12 trillion in debt:
“So China’s economy is about one-quarter the size of the combined economies of the U.S. and Europe, and they’ve added as much debt in the same amount of time as those two economies did in the lead up to the biggest collapse in global history.”
Furthermore, China’s “credit-to-GDP gap,” defined as the difference between the credit-to-GDP ratio and its long-run trend, just hit 30%. As Steiner points out in the video above, historically countries have a protracted credit crunch when this measure breaches 10%.
What does it all mean?
“China is extremely vulnerable. They’ve got a tremendous amount of debt and the non-performing loans are starting to balloon,” Steiner says.
Look out.
(For more on this topic, visit hedgeye.com)
Case No. 14-10119 (SMB) 06-25-2015 In re: ERROL WALTERS, Debtor. APPEARANCES: ERROL WALTERS Debtor Pro Se 318 West 138 Street, 2R New York, New York 10032 FRENKEL, LAMBERT, WEISS, WEISMAN & GORDON, LLP Attorneys for Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. and Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc. 53 Gibson Street Bay Shore, New York 11706 Karen Sheehan, Esq. Of Counsel STUART M. BERNSTEIN United States Bankruptcy Judge Chapter 11 MEMORANDUM DECISION DENYING DEBTOR'S MOTION FOR A DECLARATION THAT HIS LOANS WERE DISCHARGED AND GRANTING MOTION FOR RELIEF FROM THE AUTOMATIC STAY APPEARANCES: ERROL WALTERS Debtor Pro Se 318 West 138 Street, 2R New York, New York 10032 FRENKEL, LAMBERT, WEISS, WEISMAN & GORDON, LLP Attorneys for Wells Fargo Bank , N . A . and Select Portfolio Servicing , Inc . 53 Gibson Street Bay Shore, New York 11706 Karen Sheehan, Esq. Of Counsel STUART M. BERNSTEIN United States Bankruptcy Judge : Errol Walters, a chapter 11 debtor, has moved for a...
Parsa et al v. Google L.L.C. et al Case: 3:19-cv-02407-CAB-AHG Amended Case 3:19-cv-02407-CAB-AHG Filled 02/26/20 Pages 1 of 87 United States District Court Southern - District of California Civil Action No. 19cv2407-CAB-AHG 12/16/2019 https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/16596963/parsa-v-google-llc/ https://dockets.justia.com/docket/california/casdce/3:2019cv02407/660353 Case Number: 3:2019cv02407 Filed: December 16, 2019 Court: US District Court for the Southern District of California Presiding Judge: Cathy Ann Bencivengo Referring Judge: Allison H Goddard Nature of Suit: Civil Rights: Other Cause of Action: 28 U.S.C. § 1331 cv Fed. Question: Other Civil Rights Jury Demanded By: None Values last updated Jan. 28, 2022 Field Value Hints Office Number 3 Office codes are listed in the Guide to Judiciary Policies and Procedures, Appendix A. Origin (1) Original Proceeding Possi...
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